The current situation across the globe is not model friendly. Certain developments in the tropics such as a brief stint for the MJO wave, and uncertainty with a propogating westerly wind burst are playing havoc with the long term model projections.
Short term forecasts are suffering a bit as well. The ECM and GFS recently shifted toward a more zonal regime for early next week, compared to the blast of cold air that had been suggested previously. The consequence of this flow is that the energy responsible for storm potential Monday - Tuesday next week will be unable to dig south much, and rather will ride across New England, keeping cold air locked further north.
Overall, the potential still exists for some first flakes in portions of central New Hampshire and the mountains into southern Vermont. Otherwise, a period of light rain showers can be expected for interior southern New England.
|posted by Sam Lillo @ 10/09/2009 09:54:00 AM
