Model guidance continues to support the idea of low pressure deepening near Cape Cod around Columbus Day. The GFS has been particularly robust with crashing heights over New England and the establishment of marginal criteria for snow in central and northern New England and potential for significant accumulations. Obviously, the higher elevations have the best chances.
The ECM has also been on this bandwagon. The 00z run takes the low a little further south, and consequently also brings colder air further south. Track nuances are far from being locked down. This potential storm is still around day 6 so there is much opportunity for changes. However, model agreement for a storm in this period is good. Given a supply of cold air, the chances for at least some first flakes as far south as the higher terrain of Massachusetts is looking good as well.
|posted by Sam Lillo @ 10/07/2009 11:26:00 AM
