Updated at 10:55EDT 4/15


Fri-Sun 4/16-18
40% chance of a winter event
10% chance of a
severe winter event


None
0% chance of a winter event
0% chance of a
severe winter event


Friday 4/16
20% chance of a delay
0% chance of an early dismissal

0% chance of a cancellation


None
0% chance of a delay
0% chance of an early dismissal

0% chance of a cancellation
Snowday probabilities are made by Sam Lillo, for SAU29 in Keene. These percentages should not be relied on outside of Cheshire County, NH. In addition, in Cheshire County, please do all school work on time depsite the issued forecast.
Posted: 2/02/2009 06:33:00 AM

Snow threat isnt over with the loss of the coastal, we still have the inverted trough to throw back some moisture into the region. At this point, it's actually the Euro that has the highest QPF being thrown back, and considering it's been the steadiest of the model guidance, it is being weighted the greatest.

Per the Euro, there would be a 4 to 8 inch snowfall across eastern New England with 3 to 6 across western New England. The issue now is that the American models don't support much more than 2 inches. So we still have yet to reach an agreement, with the clock ticking, we're in the fourth quarter with less than a day to go.

At this point I'm sticking with the idea of a 2 to 4 inch snowfall here Monday night through Tuesday night. Timing is still uncertain as snow will likely be periodic in nature over a 24 hour time span.

--- Snowday outlook ---
Depends on amounts, but also largely on timing. If 2 to 4 inches were concentrated into tonight and tomorrow morning, I would be much more confident in a delay. But that isnt likely to happen. So slight chances are up for all possibilities given the uncertainties I've mentioned.





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