The Euro has always been on the western side of the guidence with this storm, and now it shifted even more in it's 00z run last night. The Euro takes the low inland across SE New England. This would bring precip type issues up to Keene, and probably a little further north and west.
In addition, after several runs east of the Euro showing I95 specials, the GFS has joined its big brother. It's 06z run shifted significantly west. Techniquely, its not too bad of a run for Keene, however it's a trend, and soon will be terrible (rain) if it keeps going.
I find the 06z GFS slightly hard to accept given its a 06z run (intermediate run) which historically are less accurate, plus it's a large shift from a long line of relatively steady previous forecasts. However, it also agrees with the Euro now, which is a boost. If the 12z GFS / Euro agrees, we are in trouble.
|posted by Sam Lillo @ 12/09/2008 06:32:00 AM
