Winter Weather Outlook: Special Weather Statement

A Quick Guide to the Percentages

Storm Forecast Verification (with 24hr lead)

2008-09 Snow Report


10/28/2008	T		OCT: T
11/18/2008	T
11/22/2008	T
11/24/2008	0.1
11/28/2008	0.1
11/30/2008	1.2		NOV: 1.4
12/07/2008	0.5
12/09/2008	1.4
12/12/2008	1.0	E,C,C
12/13/2008	T
12/17/2008	3.6	C
12/19/2008	8.6	C
12/20/2008	2.5
12/21/2008	7.4	D
12/31/2008	8.7		DEC: 33.7
01/05/2008	T	D
01/07/2009	3.5	C
01/08/2009	3.8
01/11/2009	7.8
01/18/2009	5.0
01/19/2009	2.0
01/28/2009	9.1	C	JAN: 31.2
02/13/2009	T
02/19/2009	4.8
02/20/2009	1.0
02/22/2009	6.2		FEB: 12.0
03/02/2009	4.5	C
03/09/2009	6.3		MAR: 10.8

-----------------------------------------
Total so far	89.2
(Highest snowdepth recorded so far: 24)

2007-08 Snow Report


11/16/2007	T
11/20/2007	2.2
11/26/2007	T		NOV: 2.2
12/01/2007	0.1
12/03/2007	7.0	C
12/07/2007	T
12/10/2007	1.0	D
12/13/2007	7.6
12/16/2007	10.1	D
12/20/2007	3.3	D	
12/27/2007	1.2		
12/31/2007	9.4		DEC: 39.7
01/01/2008	5.5
01/11/2008	T	D
01/14/2008	5.1	C
01/18/2008	3.3	C
01/21/2008	0.5		
01/23/2008	0.1		
01/27/2008	1.5		JAN: 16.0
02/01/2008	2.5	E	
02/05/2008	1.0	D	
02/07/2008	2.5	D	
02/10/2008	5.0		
02/13/2008	8.2	C	
02/18/2008	T	D
02/19/2008	T
02/22/2008	4.5
02/26/2008	9.6
02/27/2008	0.3		FEB: 33.4
03/01/2008	4.7
03/09/2008	T
03/12/2008	0.5
03/15/2008	1.5
03/19/2008	0.6
03/28/2008	5.4	C
03/31/2008	1.0		MAR: 13.7
04/04/2008	1.2		APR: 1.2

-----------------------------------------
Total		106.4
(Seasonal average reached on 2/13/08)
(Highest snowdepth recorded: 28)

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Updated at 10:55EDT 4/15

Short term Winter threat Fri-Sun 4/16-18 40% chance of a winter event 10% chance of a severe winter event	Long term Winter threat None 0% chance of a winter event 0% chance of a severe winter event
Snowday probabilities1 Friday 4/16 20% chance of a delay 0% chance of an early dismissal 0% chance of a cancellation	Snowday probabilities2 None 0% chance of a delay 0% chance of an early dismissal 0% chance of a cancellation

Snowday probabilities are made by Sam Lillo, for SAU29 in Keene. These percentages should not be relied on outside of Cheshire County, NH. In addition, in Cheshire County, please do all school work on time depsite the issued forecast.

Special Weather Statement

Posted: 1/17/2007 06:30:00 PM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
215 PM EST WED JAN 17 2007

CTZ003-004-MAZ003>005-010>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-180930-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
TOLLAND CT-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WINDHAM CT-
215 PM EST WED JAN 17 2007

...A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...

IT APPEARS A COASTAL LOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY
NIGHT...THEN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AS IT EXITS CAPE COD INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING A PERIOD OF
SNOW AND RAIN TO REGION DURING THIS TIME...WITH MAINLY SNOW WEST OF
ROUTE 128 IN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE.
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL JUST PRIOR TO AND DURING THE FRIDAY
MORNING RUSH HOUR ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE...THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY TAKE THE FORM OF RAIN AS
SOUTH WINDS LIFT TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS
CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. RAIN WILL
LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY MORNING ALL LOCATIONS BEFORE
ENDING FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

THE GREATEST RISK FOR THIS BURST OF ACCUMULATIVE SNOW IS FROM
WORCESTER EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO FITCHBURG...LOWELL...NASHUA AND
MANCHESTER...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS LOW...A VERY WINDY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY IS UPCOMING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 45 OR 50 MPH
WILL BE AFFECTING THE TRAVEL OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND POSSIBLY
CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...THE STRONG WINDS AND
COLD TEMPERATURES WILL GENERATE BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

|posted by Sam Lillo @ 1/17/2007 06:30:00 PM

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(c) 2005-10, Sam Lillo. The forecasts made on this site are unofficial and should not be relied on in life-threatening situations. For official forecasts, consult the National Weather Service.