The NWS zone forecast gives us 1 - 3 inches Monday Night. Current feeling is that is too high especially considering the AFD which doesnt line up with that at all. At this point I'll just raise my confidence of one inch of snow accumulation through Tuesday. The possibility exists for two inches, but I dont want to stay low especially considering what happened with the last storm (1-19).
The latest point forecast has 1 - 2 inches Monday Night. It also includes .5" tomorrow and a dusting possible tonight.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
428 PM EST SUN JAN 21 2007

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THICKENING HIGH CLOUDINESS HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS AFTN. WINDS 
ARE SUBSIDING. THE ISSUE FOR TONIGHT IS A VORTICITY CENTER CURRENTLY 
APPROACHING CHICAGO. IT IS SCREAMING EASTWARD AND GFS FORECASTS THIS 
NEAR ALBANY AT 7 AM MON AND OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY NOON. RADAR 
SHOWS PRECIPITATION OUT AHEAD OF THIS MOVING INTO WESTERN NY STATE 
ATTM. AS THIS AREA MOVES EAST...IT WILL ALSO BE ENCOUNTERING VERY 
DRY AIR WITH DEW POINT VALUES BELOW ZERO ACROSS OUR REGION. 
THUS...SOME OF IT SHOULD DRY UP.  HAVE FORECAST A CHANCE OF SNOW 
SHOWERS FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO EARLY TUE MORNING...WITH THE BEST 
CHANCES IN NW MA AND SW NH. BOTH GFS AND NAM SHOW 850 RH RAPIDLY 
INCREASING FROM SW TO NE ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z.  THAT 
SHOULD BE WHEN THE REAL THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS BEGINS. ANY SNOW 
SHOWERS SHOULD EXIT THE COAST DURING THE MORNING. MOTORISTS SHOULD 
BE WARY OF ANY LOCALIZED POCKETS OF LOWER VISIBILITY DURING THE 
MORNING COMMUTE. 

BUFKIT SOUNDINGS WITH THE ENERGY ALGORITHM INDICATED THE POSSIBILITY 
OF SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND EARLY 
MON MORNING. HOWEVER...THE SOUNDINGS THERE APPEAR TOO COLD FOR THAT. 
I WOULD THINK THAT SNOW GRAINS WOULD BE THE MORE LIKELY RESULT.
WE WILL WATCH THIS SITUATION CLOSELY...IN CASE FREEZING DRIZZLE 
BECOMES MORE OF A THREAT.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON...RADAR ALSO SHOWS AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW OVER 
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PA. THIS IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW 
PRESSURE AREA...WHICH WILL IMPACT US LATER ON MONDAY.  

WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NE TO E ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL HELP 
KEEP THE REGION SOCKED IN WITH LOW LEVEL CLOUDINESS. WHILE THERE IS 
A CHANCE OF SOME LINGERING FLURRIES IN THE AFTERNOON...THE MAJORITY 
SHOULD BE DRY.