Winter Weather Outlook: Everything going as forecasted

A Quick Guide to the Percentages

Storm Forecast Verification (with 24hr lead)

2008-09 Snow Report


10/28/2008	T		OCT: T
11/18/2008	T
11/22/2008	T
11/24/2008	0.1
11/28/2008	0.1
11/30/2008	1.2		NOV: 1.4
12/07/2008	0.5
12/09/2008	1.4
12/12/2008	1.0	E,C,C
12/13/2008	T
12/17/2008	3.6	C
12/19/2008	8.6	C
12/20/2008	2.5
12/21/2008	7.4	D
12/31/2008	8.7		DEC: 33.7
01/05/2008	T	D
01/07/2009	3.5	C
01/08/2009	3.8
01/11/2009	7.8
01/18/2009	5.0
01/19/2009	2.0
01/28/2009	9.1	C	JAN: 31.2
02/13/2009	T
02/19/2009	4.8
02/20/2009	1.0
02/22/2009	6.2		FEB: 12.0
03/02/2009	4.5	C
03/09/2009	6.3		MAR: 10.8

-----------------------------------------
Total so far	89.2
(Highest snowdepth recorded so far: 24)

2007-08 Snow Report


11/16/2007	T
11/20/2007	2.2
11/26/2007	T		NOV: 2.2
12/01/2007	0.1
12/03/2007	7.0	C
12/07/2007	T
12/10/2007	1.0	D
12/13/2007	7.6
12/16/2007	10.1	D
12/20/2007	3.3	D	
12/27/2007	1.2		
12/31/2007	9.4		DEC: 39.7
01/01/2008	5.5
01/11/2008	T	D
01/14/2008	5.1	C
01/18/2008	3.3	C
01/21/2008	0.5		
01/23/2008	0.1		
01/27/2008	1.5		JAN: 16.0
02/01/2008	2.5	E	
02/05/2008	1.0	D	
02/07/2008	2.5	D	
02/10/2008	5.0		
02/13/2008	8.2	C	
02/18/2008	T	D
02/19/2008	T
02/22/2008	4.5
02/26/2008	9.6
02/27/2008	0.3		FEB: 33.4
03/01/2008	4.7
03/09/2008	T
03/12/2008	0.5
03/15/2008	1.5
03/19/2008	0.6
03/28/2008	5.4	C
03/31/2008	1.0		MAR: 13.7
04/04/2008	1.2		APR: 1.2

-----------------------------------------
Total		106.4
(Seasonal average reached on 2/13/08)
(Highest snowdepth recorded: 28)

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Updated at 10:55EDT 4/15

Short term Winter threat Fri-Sun 4/16-18 40% chance of a winter event 10% chance of a severe winter event	Long term Winter threat None 0% chance of a winter event 0% chance of a severe winter event
Snowday probabilities1 Friday 4/16 20% chance of a delay 0% chance of an early dismissal 0% chance of a cancellation	Snowday probabilities2 None 0% chance of a delay 0% chance of an early dismissal 0% chance of a cancellation

Snowday probabilities are made by Sam Lillo, for SAU29 in Keene. These percentages should not be relied on outside of Cheshire County, NH. In addition, in Cheshire County, please do all school work on time depsite the issued forecast.

Everything going as forecasted

Posted: 1/21/2007 11:15:00 PM

Flurries fell throughout the day today under gray skies. Snow has increased in intensity this evening, and has accumulated .3 inches at my house. The snow should continue to fall through tonight as low pressure in NY and PA advances eastward. Additional accumulation of up to half an inch is possible tonight before the snow tapers off early tomorrow morning. I will stick with my original forecast of .5" - 1" through tomorrow afternoon. Delay probabilities will hold around 25% for the off chance of banding developing and a suprise two inch accumulation through tonight, but don't count on it!

FYI: Additional accumulation tonight may bring us to the highest snow depth so far this season (at least at my house). The highest so far is the 1.1" that accumulated on 12/30. I have yet to measure tonight, however by estimate, we have close to an inch on the ground.

|posted by Sam Lillo @ 1/21/2007 11:15:00 PM

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(c) 2005-10, Sam Lillo. The forecasts made on this site are unofficial and should not be relied on in life-threatening situations. For official forecasts, consult the National Weather Service.